Alexander Graham Bell’s telephone took nearly 40 years to achieve a spread of more than 10 percent of people in the U.S., but smartphones took less than five years to do the same. A tablet computers (so called - tablets) should be on the move to spread to the U.S. and international market faster than smartphones.
Many people have heard of Moore’s Law, which states that computing power in the world doubles every two years. There is a kind of Moore’s Law and technical solutions, which develops technology blogger Michael Degasta, writing for Technology Review MIT. It collects and analyzes data from technological services of the United Nations, New York Times and other sources.
Degasta gathered data about the popularity of approximately nine different technologies in the United States since 1876, when Bell patented his telephone. The blogger found that telephone and electricity were slow to gain popularity in the United States, as brewing technology, and finally, saturating the market. This means that after a sustained increase, the demand for technology finally lowered. These two technologies are occupied, at least 15 years, and sometimes much longer to reach a certain stage in its life cycle.
At the same time, radio, cell phones and the Internet have evolved quite rapidly, taking the time periods between 5 and 12 years to reach each of its technical life stage.
Smartphones, following their development took about eight years to reach the 10 percent distribution in the United States. After that, the smartphone took only three years to spread to the hands of the Americans with its 10 per cent to almost unbelievable 40 - this time Degasta calls "maturity." "Smartphones are spreading faster than any other technology in the history of mankind," writes Degasta the title of his technical analysis. Only the growth of television in the early 1950s corresponded to the spread of smartphones at the moment. He expects that the use of smart phones continues to grow rapidly in developing countries, where cell phones were also much more rapidly disseminated, compared to other technologies.
What is next? iPad from Apple has brought a boom in the market for tablet computers. iPad is owned by eleven percent of Americans and a half years after its release by Apple. The initial distribution of "pill" was much more rapid than the development of any of the technologies that analyzed Degasta. They have not yet reached its "maturity", but Degasta writes that their track record "is not sufficiently analyzed."
As people are increasingly resorting to the use of smartphones and tablet computers - Degasta suspects - perhaps the era of the traditional personal computer is nearing the end. Perhaps, it also means that everything we write here - from computerized clothing to the door handles, which recognize the touch of homeowners - in the hands and homes of people much faster than we can imagine it.